Tag: increased price

  • Forensic Accounting Expert Allowed to Testify Despite Lack of SQL Expertise

    Forensic Accounting Expert Allowed to Testify Despite Lack of SQL Expertise

    Plaintiff Pietoso, Inc. operates Café Napoli restaurant in Clayton, Missouri. It has a Service Agreement for waste removal from the restaurant with Defendant Allied Services, LLC—a subsidiary of Defendant Republic Services, Inc. The Service Agreement sets a basic-service rate of $323 per month, but it allows Allied to unilaterally increase this rate for certain enumerated reasons. All other rate increases require Pietoso’s consent.

    Pietoso’s service rate increased incrementally from $323 per month in 2011 to $870.25 per month in 2018. Discovery revealed that Defendants increase their prices every 10-12 months through a Yield Management Process (YMP) whereby parent company RSI generates budget guidance for its subsidiaries using an algorithm that incorporates local division budgets, costs, and historical average price increases as well as individual customer histories, including prior increases, responses thereto, and profitability.

    Plaintiff Pietoso centrally asserted that Defendants’ YMP price increase
    practice violated the Customer Service Agreement (CSA) Rate Adjustment clause. Pietoso engaged Patrick Kilbourne to calculate damages for the class.

    Defendants filed a motion to exclude Kilbourne’s expert testimony because his methodology is insufficiently precise to satisfy the legal standards for admissibility of expert testimony.

    Forensic Accounting Expert Witness

    Patrick J. Kilbourne is a Managing Director at Berkeley Research Group, a business consulting firm. He has an MBA from the University of Pennsylvania Wharton School of Business.

    Kilbourne is a Certified Public Accountant, Certified Management Accountant, and Certified Fraud Examiner. He is also Certified in Financial Forensics and Accredited in Business Valuation by the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants.

    Want to know more about the challenges Patrick Kilbourne has faced? Get the full details with our Challenge Study report.

    Discussion by the Court

    Accounting for YMP increases in excess of actual operating cost increases, plus the average fuel recovery fee (FRF) as a percentage of the service price, plus the average environmental recovery fee (ERF) as a percentage of both, Kilbourne estimated total damages for the class at $75.1 million. While his report provided averages beyond the class period, it demonstrated the feasibility of extracting more specific data for each year and customer.

    Kilbourne indicated that he was able to calculate damages for each class member by site and service. His report shows several examples calculating damages for specific customers based on YMP price increases within a certain date range. Between 2017 and 2019, Pietoso paid $2,526 over the contractually permissible increases (i.e., operating costs plus CPI). Based on the service rate for each month during that period, Pietoso paid $2,546 in FRF and $3,240 in ERF.

    Application of Contract Terms

    Defendants challenged Kilbourne’s methodology in several respects. First, the CSA defined the “Company” as a specific local division, but Kilbourne didn’t analyze division-level costs, which vary widely between urban and rural areas. Instead, he combined statewide costs to yield an average.

    Further, Kilbourne didn’t isolate disposal or transportation cost increases or those attributable to changes in the law, as the Rate Adjustment clause contemplates. He also didn’t isolate the additional category related to recyclable waste contained in some contracts. Rather, he combined all operating costs, thus diluting the contractual categories such that the result is inaccurate.

    Defendants contended that they produced division-level financial data sufficiently specific to facilitate more accurate calculations.

    Given the data available in the format produced, the Court held that Kilbourne’s inability to isolate costs corresponding to contractual categories is understandable. This is not a defect in methodology warranting exclusion but rather a limitation due to Defendants’ accounting – one that actually
    favors Defendants by overstating cost increases and potentially understating damages.

    In related points, Defendants criticized Kilbourne’s calculations for failing to account for negotiated credits and rollbacks or customer consent. But whether customers consented to increases is a central fact issue beyond Kilbourne’s assignment here.

    CAGR for Average Increase in Operating Costs

    Because Defendants’ financial statements don’t separate costs categories as between commercial, industrial, and residential customers or between small and large containers, and also because multiple divisions were combined into one financial statement prior to 2018, Kilbourne examined Defendants’ total operating costs of $152.9 million in 2016 to $203.2 million in 2022 to arrive at an average annual cost increase rate, or compounded annual growth rate (CAGR), of 4.9%.

    He compared this with the average annual price increases for customers to estimate damages as the difference between cost increases and price increases.

    In their motion to exclude, Defendants argued that Kilbourne’s methodology is flawed in that the time period Kilbourne used (2016-2022) doesn’t match the class period, and the annual average of 4.9%, while perhaps useful to predict future growth, is imprecise and factually inaccurate to calculate damages from historical data.

    The Court found Kilbourne’s general approach of calculating damages as the difference between customers’ actual rate hikes and contractually “allowable” increases as a percentage increase in annual operating costs plus CPI logical. While CAGR for 2016-2022 may not be the applicable variable if or when damages are calculated in this case, Kilbourne offered a feasible model using the data available, and his report demonstrates that operating cost increases are ascertainable for any given year and also by local division after 2017, as may be required.

    YMP Recommendation

    Next, Defendants argued that Kilbourne’s methodology is defective because he erroneously relied on “reason code 64” to identify YMP increases, when in reality local divisions use the code differently, according to some witness testimony. But that same evidence and other testimony in the record confirms that code 64 is indeed the correct code for YMP increases, and any other use of code 64 is viewed as misuse or unintended use.

    The Court found Kilbourne’s reliance on Defendants’ own coding system entirely reasonable. Any margin of error in this respect is attributable to flaws in Defendants’ data, not in Kilbourne’s methodology.

    Defendants also argued here that Kilbourne’s method is unreliable because he ignored the fact that local divisions often depart from YMP recommendations. But Kilbourne expressly acknowledged this fact and noted that it would be possible to exclude YMP increases that were different from the algorithm amount if needed. The data captured every invoice and corresponding payment. Again, the Court is not persuaded that Kilbourne’s model couldn’t accommodate those adjustments, and error-free perfection is not the standard.

    SQL Qualifications

    As the Court understands it, Kilbourne and his staff used a computer code called structured query language (SQL, or “sequel”) to identify the characteristics of the Plaintiff class and extract their invoicing and payment records from the voluminous data produced by Defendants. Kilbourne relied on technical staff to perform the query to identify class members, then he verified it for accuracy using a quality control test process. Defendants asserted that Kilbourne’s methodology is unreliable because he isn’t qualified in SQL; rather he adopted a methodology of non-experts that he can’t independently opine on because he lacks the necessary expertise.

    Kilbourne is, however, an expert in accounting and financial analysis, not computer science. The Court finds it reasonable that his examination of voluminous financial data might require technical assistance to manipulate, sort, and extract the characteristics and figures relevant to this case.

    Staff with SQL expertise assisted Kilbourne, and he tested the accuracy of SQL queries through quality control processes. The Court is satisfied that his method is reliable.

    Moreover, even accepting Defendants’ tenuous premise here, expertise with SQL is collateral to Kilbourne’s essential qualifications as a CPA and financial analyst. The Court therefore finds that any arguable deficiency goes only to the weight of his testimony, not its admissibility.

    Fuel and Environmental Recovery Fees

    Defendants’ financial records showed that fuel and environmental costs are included in Defendants’ annual operating costs incorporated in their price increases under the Rate Adjustment clause. However, Defendants also charged additional fuel and environmental recovery fees (FRF and ERF, respectively) as a percentage of the amount invoiced for the underlying services. Kilbourne was asked to calculate the total amount of these surcharges for each class member during the class period. The data enabled him to isolate amounts specific to these fees and calculate average annual increases for each year.

    Defendants asserted that Pietoso has failed to plead a viable theory of damages with respect to these fees, leading Kilbourne to merely perform simple math without any meaningful analysis.

    The Court will not exclude Kilbourne’s testimony on these fees. Defendants offered no argument that Kilbourne’s methodology is unreliable; they only dispute the applicability of these fees to a damages calculation. Kilbourne has demonstrated his ability to isolate these fees in the data and calculate them in relation to underlying price increases. If the jury deems some portion of the fees recoverable, Kilbourne’s methodology is reliable, and his testimony is relevant and likely to assist the trier of fact

    Held

    The Court denied the Defendants’ motion to exclude the testimony of
    Plaintiff’s damages expert, Patrick Kilbourne.

    Key Takeaway:

    While individual credits and rollbacks may require further examination, the Court is not persuaded that Kilbourne’s model cannot accommodate such adjustments, as the data captures every customer transaction. In the Court’s view, this doesn’t render Kilbourne’s methodology preclusively unreliable. Nothing in Rule 702 “requires the court to nitpick an expert’s opinion in order to reach a perfect expression of what the basis and methodology can support.”

    Even viewing Kilbourne’s technical staff as independent experts, the Court found no basis to exclude his opinions, as experts frequently rely on the expertise of others outside their field.

    Case Details:

    Case Caption: Pietoso, Inc. V. Republic Services, Inc. Et Al
    Docket Number: 4:19cv397
    Court Name: United States District Court, Missouri Eastern
    Order Date: September 15, 2025
  • Economics Expert Witness’ Testimony Admitted Despite His Use of Spot Export Prices

    Economics Expert Witness’ Testimony Admitted Despite His Use of Spot Export Prices

    Plaintiffs The Tripp Plating Works, Inc. (“Tripp”) and Finch Paper, LLC (“Finch”) (collectively referred to as “Indirect Purchaser Plaintiffs” or “IPPs”) alleged that Defendants Olin Corporation (“Olin”), K.A. Steel Chemicals, Inc. (“K.A. Steel”), Occidental Chemical Corporation (“OxyChem”), Westlake Chemical Corporation (“Westlake”), Shintech Incorporated (“Shintech”), and Formosa Plastics Corporation, U.S.A. (“Formosa USA”) (collectively, “Defendants”) conspired to artificially reduce or eliminate competition for the pricing of caustic soda sold in the United States. IPPs claimed that Defendants colluded to fix caustic soda prices, forcing purchasers to pay inflated, supracompetitive prices.

    In response, Shintech and Formosa USA separately moved to strike portions of the testimony provided by IPPs’ expert witness, Dr. Gareth Macartney, Ph.D. Additionally, all Defendants jointly moved to exclude certain opinions offered by Macartney. IPPs, in turn, have also moved to strike and exclude certain opinions offered by the Defendants’ expert witness, John H. Johnson IV, Ph.D.

    Economics Expert Witnesses

    John H. Johnson IV, Ph.D, is the Chief Executive Officer of Edgeworth Economics, LLC, a consulting firm that provides clients with objective expert economic and financial analysis for complex litigation and public policy debates. He holds a B.A. in Economics from the University of Rochester and a Ph.D. in Economics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), where he specialized in labor economics and econometrics. Johnson leverages his expertise to deliver analytical clarity and strategic insights to clients facing high-stakes legal and policy challenges.

    Get the full story on challenges to John H Johnson IV’s expert opinions and testimony with an in-depth Challenge Study.   

    Gareth Macartney is the Senior Economist, Director of Competition, and Chief Executive Officer at OnPoint Analytics, Inc., an economic and statistical consulting firm. He holds a Ph.D. in Economics from University College London. Macartney specializes in providing rigorous economic and statistical analysis, particularly in matters related to competition and complex litigation.

    Want to know more about the challenges Gareth Macartney has faced? Get the full details with our Challenge Study report.   

    Discussion by the Court

    a. Class Certification

    On December 28, 2023, the Court denied a motion for class certification filed by the Direct Purchaser Plaintiffs (DPPs), including Miami Products & Chemical Co., Amrex Chemical Co., Inc., Main Pool and Chemical Co., Inc., Midwest Renewable Energy, LLC, Perry’s Ice Cream Company, Inc., and VanDeMark Chemical, Inc. The Court now addresses a similar request by the Indirect Purchaser Plaintiffs (IPPs) to certify two classes under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 23. The Court assumes familiarity with the DPP Class Certification Decision and Order and prior proceedings in this matter.

    IPPs adopted the factual background from the DPPs’ motion for class certification. The Court incorporated by reference the detailed summary of Defendants’ alleged manipulation of the caustic soda market, which purportedly caused customers to pay supracompetitive prices. The allegations focused on Defendants’ price increase announcements and their impact on the caustic soda market.

    The IPPs argued that common issues predominated, justifying class certification. However, the Court found that IPPs failed to meet the requirements of Rule 23(b)(3). Their damages model, prepared by Macartney, relied on flawed data from Dr. Russell Lamb, who misclassified contract types by not reviewing individual contracts. This error undermined the model’s ability to demonstrate class-wide injury. Additionally, Macartney’s assumption that price increase announcements influenced index-based pricing was speculative and lacked evidentiary support. He failed to show how inflated prices were incorporated into price indices, a critical component for proving class-wide injury.

    The pass-through model, based on data from only three distributors out of more than 155, was not representative of the proposed class. This limited dataset did not capture the complexities of the supply chain, leading to individualized issues that overshadowed common questions. Therefore, the Court concluded that IPPs did not provide a reliable method for proving class-wide injury and damages, and denied class certification.

    b. John H Johnson IV

    Johnson has provided an expert report responding to and critiquing Macartney’s opinions. Johnson argues, among other things, that: (1) Macartney’s assessment of the impact of Defendants’ price increase announcements is disconnected from economic evidence, in part because pricing for caustic soda is individually negotiated between each supplier and distributor, and the pricing mechanisms and terms vary substantially across distributors, Defendants, and over time; (2) the overcharge regression fails to account for global supply and demand conditions that impact the domestic price of caustic soda; (3) the overcharge regression improperly calculates an average overcharge for distributor and non-distributor purchasers, rather than customer-specific overcharges; (4) the pass-through model relies on data from only three distributors to estimate pass-through rates for 155 distributors, with no statistical tests to support the conclusion that the purchases and sales associated with these three distributors are representative of those excluded from the analysis; and (5) the pass-through model oversimplifies the caustic soda supply chain.

    As part of his critique of the regression model, Johnson conducted his own multiple regression analysis, adding various export price measures. He ran six additional regressions, each incorporating one measure of export prices (contemporaneous and three-month lagged). These additional tests yielded an estimate of the purported overcharge that was negative or statistically insignificant.

    Admissibility of Johnson’s Opinions

    IPPs argue that Johnson’s overcharge regression analyses, and his opinions and testimony based on them, are unreliable because they are prone to endogeneity and fail to reliably control for global supply and demand for caustic soda. More specifically, IPPs contend that Johnson committed a fundamental error by using spot export prices as a variable, asserting that such prices are not reliable indicators of international prices or demand in their respective localities. IPPs acknowledge that DPPs raised a similar argument regarding Johnson’s opinions during their class certification motion and similarly seek exclusion of his spot export price analyses.

    Previously, the Court considered and rejected the argument that Johnson’s use of spot export prices rendered his analysis and testimony unreliable. The Court found Johnson’s explanation of his methodology reasonable and persuasive. Nothing in the IPPs’ submissions provides a basis for the Court to reconsider its prior finding that there is no justification under Rule 702 to strike or exclude Johnson’s opinions. Accordingly, the Court denies IPPs’ motion to strike Johnson’s opinions and testimony.

    c. Gareth Macartney

    Macartney has opined, among other things, that: (1) common evidence demonstrates that the structure of the caustic soda industry is conducive to anticompetitive behavior; (2) common evidence and methods demonstrate that Defendants engaged in collusive behavior that artificially increased the price of caustic soda; and (3) a common, reliable standard economic methodology may be used to calculate damages on a classwide basis. Applying that methodology, he has estimated class-wide damages of $155 million for the State Antitrust Class.

    Macartney has further opined that class-wide damages for the Unjust Enrichment Class can also be calculated using common evidence, amounting to $712 million in revenue terms, $355 million in gross profit terms, and $348 million in net profit terms.

    A key part of his opinion is the performance of a reduced-form pricing regression analysis to demonstrate that caustic soda prices were artificially inflated during the alleged class period. To conduct this analysis, Macartney used a standardized database of Defendants’ transaction data received from Russell Lamb, DPPs’ expert economist. His model shows an overcharge of 11.61% for all of Defendants’ customers and a 16.37% overcharge for distributor customers. He then applied a regression model to estimate the proportion of Defendants’ price increases passed through to distributor customers. This model provides an estimate of passthrough at a rate of 81%.

    The Court denies the Defendants’ motions to strike Macartney’s opinions and testimony as moot.

    Held

    The Court denied Shintech’s and Formosa’s motions to exclude certain opinions and proposed testimony of Gareth Macartney as moot and denied Defendants’ joint motion to exclude his opinions and testimony. The Court also denied IPPs’ motion to strike and exclude portions of John H. Johnson IV’s opinions and proposed testimony.

    Key Takeaways:

    When the opponent contended that Johnson’s use of spot export prices constitutes a true error that requires his analyses to be excluded because the spot export prices are not indicators of international prices or demand in their respective localities, the Court held that Johnson has explained his methodology in a way that was both reasonable and persuasive.

    Case Details:

    Case Caption: Miami Products & Chemical Co. V. Olin Corporation Et Al
    Docket Number:  1:19cv385 ; 1:19cv975
    Court: United States District Court for the Western District of New York
    Order Date: December 16, 2024