Tag: Inflation

  • Economics Expert Allowed to Opine on Constant Inflation 

    Economics Expert Allowed to Opine on Constant Inflation 

    This is a consolidated action for securities fraud brought by Lead Plaintiff Los Angeles County Employees Retirement Association on behalf of a putative class of investors in the Ohio-based electrical utility company FirstEnergy Corporation. Plaintiffs alleged violations of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the Securities Act of 1933 by FirstEnergy, its named officers and directors, and a group of underwriters, in connection with the Ohio House Bill 6 scandal.

    W. Scott Dalrymple was retained as an expert witness on behalf of Plaintiffs, and submitted an expert report in June 2022 analyzing whether FirstEnergy’s common stock traded in an efficient market and addressing whether damages could be calculated using a common methodology. Defendants filed a motion to exclude Dalrymple as an expert.

    Defendants did not challenge Dalrymple’s qualifications, nor did they challenge the reliability of an event study methodology generally. Instead, the issue advanced by Defendants is whether Dalrymple has sufficiently explained how he would or could apply his proposed methodology to the facts as alleged in the Complaint.

    Plaintiffs argued that Dalrymple has reliably applied his proposed technique to the facts of the case and has offered a reasonable view of constant inflation that could, at any rate, rest on assumptions of liability at this stage in the case.

    Economics Expert Witness

    William Scott Dalrymple is an economist and a CFA charter holder with extensive experience in economic, financial, and statistical analyses. During his career, he has worked on issues relating to the analysis of economic damages involving securities litigation, business valuation, structured finance, financial derivatives, antitrust, intellectual property, and breach of contract.

    Moreover, Dalrymple holds a Master of Science in Economics from the London School of Economics and Political Science and a Bachelor of Business Administration in Finance and Business Honors from the University of Texas at Austin. 

    Get the full story on challenges to W. Scott Dalrymple’s expert opinions and testimony with an in-depth Challenge Study

    Discussion by the Court

    To begin with, Defendants did not contest the testing, peer review and publication, or acceptance of event study methodologies generally; instead, they attempt to undermine the possible accuracy of Dalrymple’s proposed methodology in this particular instance. But Defendants advance this argument by misconstruing Dalrymple’s testimony and recharacterizing Plaintiffs’ theory of the case.

    Plaintiffs have presented a viable, consistent, and classwide approach to damages. Their theory is that Defendants “concealed corrupt conduct,” causing “FirstEnergy’s stock to trade at an inflated price throughout the Class Period” such that “revelations of Defendants’ corruption, beginning in July 202, caused this inflation to dissipate, damaging investors.” Under Plaintiffs’ theory, it may be the case that inflation is constant, or it may be variable. The Court need not reach that argument, or Defendants’ concern about Plaintiffs’ supposedly new criminal enterprise theory. Even if the inflation is time-varying, the fact that a damages model does not account for such variation is not a reason to discount the damages model at this stage.

    In sum, the Court is satisfied by Dalrymple’s testimony that any potential time variation in inflation could be accounted for under his proposed event study (or out-of-pocket) damages methodology. Overall, Defendants’ challenges to the accuracy of Dalrymple’s proposed methodology go to the weight of the evidence, not to its admissibility.

    To the extent that Defendants challenge Dalrymple’s testimony as inconsistent with his earlier expert reports or violative of Rules 26 or 37, neither argument is availing.

    Rule 26 “contemplates that the expert will supplement, elaborate upon, explain and subject himself to cross-examination upon his report.” That is what Dalrymple did, at Defendants’ request.

    Held

    The Court denied the Defendants’ motion to exclude the testimony of W. Scott Dalrymple.

    Key Takeaway

    Experts are permitted wide latitude in their opinions, including those not based on firsthand knowledge, so long as the expert’s opinion has a reliable basis in the knowledge and experience of the discipline.

    Case Details:

    Case Caption: In re Firstenergy Corp. Securities Litigation
    Docket Number: 2:20cv3785
    Court Name: United States District Court for the Southern District of Ohio, Eastern Division
    Order Date: April 30, 2026
  • Economics Expert Allowed to Opine on Stock Inflation

    Economics Expert Allowed to Opine on Stock Inflation

    Plaintiffs alleged that Defendants engaged in a scheme to defraud and made numerous materially false and misleading statements and omissions to investors regarding Acadia’s business and operations.

    Defendants filed a motion to exclude the testimony and opinions of Plaintiff’s expert witness W. Scott Dalrymple. Specifically, Dalrymple was retained to analyze share price inflation and damages associated with Plaintiffs’ allegations.

    Dalrymple purports to calculate the inflation in the stock price caused by these alleged misrepresentations by measuring the abnormal stock price decline following “curative events” that allegedly disclosed the truth behind the misrepresentations.

    Economics Expert Witness

    W. Scott Dalrymple is a Partner at BVA Group LLC (“BVA Group”). He is an economist and a CFA charter holder with extensive experience in economic, financial, and statistical analyses. During his career, he has worked on issues relating to the analysis of economic damages involving securities litigation, business valuation, structured finance, financial derivatives, antitrust, intellectual property, and breach of contract.

    Dalrymple holds a Master of Science in Economics from the London School of Economics and Political Science and a Bachelor of Business Administration in Finance and Business Honors from the University of Texas at Austin. 

    Get the full story on challenges to W. Scott Dalrymple’s expert opinions and testimony with an in-depth Challenge Study

    Discussion by the Court

    To begin with, Defendants challenged the admissibility of Dalrymple’s opinions under Rule 702. As grounds, Defendants contended that Dalrymple did not offer opinions of loss causation which rendered his opinions on damages irrelevant and unhelpful; that his opinions are unreliable because he failed to disaggregate the impact of the corrective disclosure from any other non-fraudulent information; and that his opinions are results oriented (i.e., not reliable) because he measured inflation using a four-day window for one of the alleged corrective disclosures.

    Plaintiffs, however, noted that Dalrymple conducted multiple event studies in which he considered and disaggregated confounding information and that the only assumption in Dalrymple’s analysis is that the jury will find the alleged misstatements were, in fact, actionably false and misleading.

    For the most part, Defendants’ arguments challenged the factual bases for Dalrymple’s opinions, they go to the weight, rather than the admissibility, of his testimony.

    The Court found that Plaintiffs have shown by a preponderance of the evidence that Dalrymple is qualified, his opinions have a reliable basis in the knowledge and experience of his discipline, and that he will testify to knowledge that will assist the trier of fact in understanding the evidence and deciding why Acadia’s stock price fell when it did and the issue of damages.

    Held

    The Court denied the Defendants’ motion to exclude the testimony of Plaintiff’s expert witness W. Scott Dalrymple. 

    Key Takeaway:

    To determine reliability under Rule 702, the Court must determine not whether the expert’s opinion is correct, but rather whether it rests upon a reliable foundation, as opposed to, say, unsupported speculation.

    The facts of this case do not show that Dalrymple’s opinions are “so fundamentally unsupported that they can offer no assistance to the trier of fact.”

    Case Details:

    Case Caption: St. Clair County Employees’ Retirement System V. Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. Et Al
    Docket Number: 3:18cv988
    Court Name: United States District Court for the Middle District of Tennessee, Nashville Division
    Order Date: October 01, 2025